How to Value L1s, L2s, and Crypto Assets | Kyle Samani
Valuing Asset Ledgers
- Multicoin adopts MEV as the prime method for valuing L1 and L2 assets, where L1 holders like those of Solana or Ethereum are entitled to MEV rewards.
- L1 assets often come with a trading premium, adding value but reducing yield for holders, while L2s may not currently distribute MEV to token holders.
- The industry is pivoting towards valuating assets on fundamentals rather than narratives, with escalating efforts to quantify these fundamentals.
- Blockchains aim for maximal permissionlessness, where compute and hardware costs significantly influence fee structures, yet the electricity costs for transactions are minimal.
Evaluating Fee Markets and Ethereum's COGS
- Using L1 should approach the cost of goods sold (COGS), with margins expected to near zero, while MEV remains the critical revenue source, not tied to transaction execution costs.
- Ethereum's pricing of COGS is considered overvalued by a trillion factor, underlining a need for reduction.
- MEV's significant value extends into single-digit billions across ecosystems, with some validators adopting a 0% commission as their strategy.
- Salana introduces Stake Weighted Quality of Service to market bandwidth to validators, being skeptical of Ethereum's role as money due to no pricing in ETH.
- Expressing bullishness for Salana and interest in Monad and SWE, emphasizing the rising demand for integrated solutions over modular ones, amid standardization challenges affecting user experience.
- Investment in Wormhole, without detailed thesis, is highlighted.
Multi-Chain Ecosystem Insights
- Wormhole's substantial funding round underlines its robustness in connecting diverse ecosystems, acknowledging a multi-chain world integrating EVM and Svm.
- Lack of standards among EVM flavors and between EVM and Svm prompts alternative solutions like Wormhole, Axar, and L zero for ecosystem interoperation.
- SE's commitment to enduring EVM presence is marked by its V2 upgrade, aimed at enhancing performance and scalability.
- Monad focuses on high performance and scalability for EVM, essential for current applications.
The Expansion of Fee Markets